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  • Blue Peace in the Middle East: Lessons Learnt, 2015

    This publication reviews the progress of the Blue Peace Initiative and draws lessons learnt thus far.

  • Women, Water and Peace: Crisis of Survival in the Middle East, 2015

    This is the third publication in the series on Crisis of Survival in the Middle East. This publication illustrates with live examples how the unfortunate nexus between water, violence, displacement, drought and women functions. Eminent women journalists and researchers from Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey have contributed chapters to this publication. The stories presented here are from real life, building on the theoretical analysis that we have provided in our earlier reports.

  • Why? A Case for Cooperation in the Middle East, 2015

    This paper asks, from nine different angles, the question - WHY should the governments of the Middle East cooperate with each other on water?

    The questions in the paper are derived from a large number of conversations with policy makers, opinion makers, experts and ordinary citizens of countries in the region. They underpin concerns of the people, and particularly the opinion making elite, in the Middle East. 

  • SFG Activity Report, 2015

    Strategic Foresight Group pursues its goals by creating new concepts, underpinned by vigorous, independent and participatory research and engaging senior political leaders as catalysts of change to implement them.

    This publication presents SFG's impact on both intellectual capital and policy. It records SFG's activities across its three focus areas – Global Foresight; Water Diplomacy; and Peace, Conflict, Terrorism.

  • This publication presents a refined version of the Water Cooperation Quotient, which was created as a tool to measure intensity of cooperation in shared river basins.

    The Water Cooperation Quotient was first introduced in our report released in November 2013. As the report was circulated worldwide, we received many useful suggestions for improving the Water Cooperation Quotient methodology. In this publication we have used this feedback to further refine the Water Cooperation Quotient.

  • Water and Violence: Crisis of Survival in the Middle East, 2014

    It is increasingly becoming apparent that there is a growing need to address the real victims of scarcity and conflict over water. These are vulnerable and marginalized communities who do not have carrying capacity to manage water related disasters.

    This report examines the problems of populations made vulnerable by the abuse of water as a weapon or as a target in violent conflicts. In the past, some of the state agencies and combatant forces in the region have destroyed water infrastructure. Since 2014, ISIS, a new terrorist group has shown propensity to use water resources to achieve its illegitimate objectives. The international community cannot ignore a developing tragedy and this report also explores possible options for the UN and other international actors.

  • Blue Peace in the Middle East: Progress Report, 2014

    Since water is at the core of life, cooperation on transboundary water resources has the potential to transform relations between countries and establish peace. Strategic Foresight Group's Blue Peace approach holds true to this principle with its belief that water can be transformed from an instrument of conflict to one of cooperation and peace through a series of concrete actions. 

    In 2011, SFG's report on Blue Peace in the Middle East was published. From 2011 to 2014, numerous developments have taken place that have advanced the ten recommendations made in that report towards becoming a reality. The aim of the Blue Peace in the Middle East: Progress Report is to chart this journey and outline the lessons learnt in the process. 

  • The Hydro-Insecure - Crisis of Survival in the Middle East, 2014

    The Government authorities mandated to address water problems, as well as international organisations engaged with the Middle East would benefit tremendously if they have a decision support tool that maps and analyses the plight of the most vulnerable population. This report by Strategic Foresight Group, takes the water cooperation discourse to the level where it is most needed. It identifies 40 million hydro-insecure people from 30 governorates  from Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria and Turkey. About a third of these governorates are in border areas, threatening to spread the problems of hydro-insecure people in one country to other countries across boundaries. The report explains how water vulnerability is closely linked to not only climate and drought conditions, but also to poverty, violence and refugees.

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