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  • Cost of Non-Cooperation on Water: Crisis of Survival in the Middle East

    Behind the dramatic pictures coming out of the Middle East are the hard facts of the cost of non-cooperation in the last 5 years. These facts provide evidence of the exact extent of the loss of crops, reduction in access to water, damage to infrastructure, impact on health and loss of livelihoods, and other realities of daily life. The purpose of this report is to provide the relevant facts and figures so that the seriousness of debate is not lost in mere rhetoric and emotions. Hard facts have also hidden in them hard options for possible solutions.

    These facts should convince governments, civil society, international organisations in the Middle East and those outside concerned about the region to reflect on the great tragedy that we invited on ourselves exactly at a time when the region was moving towards cooperation. It is still possible to reverse the direction of events in the Middle East and move back to the spirit of 2010. It is indeed essential to build on what was achieved in 2010 to foster cooperation in water, food and environment so that the region can finally begin its journey from deep crisis to stability and from stability to an era of peace and prosperity.

  • Big Questions of Our time: The World Speaks, 2016

    “If you had to pick one question that would be most significant for mankind in the twenty-first century, what would that question be?” This question was presented to thought leaders from all parts of the world.

    ‘Big Questions of Our Time: The World Speaks’ brings together 89 thought leaders in 44 countries in an effort to define our emerging future. They reflect on the dynamics between power and principles, risks of the next global war, consequences of growing inequity, future of human dignity, among other issues that challenge the present architecture of global governance.

    This unique collection of ideas and perspectives also includes SFG research and analysis projecting political power play in 2050 driven by the scientific and technological prowess of countries.

  • Blue Peace in the Middle East: Lessons Learnt, 2015

    This publication reviews the progress of the Blue Peace Initiative and draws lessons learnt thus far.

  • Women, Water and Peace: Crisis of Survival in the Middle East, 2015

    This is the third publication in the series on Crisis of Survival in the Middle East. This publication illustrates with live examples how the unfortunate nexus between water, violence, displacement, drought and women functions. Eminent women journalists and researchers from Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon and Turkey have contributed chapters to this publication. The stories presented here are from real life, building on the theoretical analysis that we have provided in our earlier reports.

  • Why? A Case for Cooperation in the Middle East, 2015

    This paper asks, from nine different angles, the question - WHY should the governments of the Middle East cooperate with each other on water?

    The questions in the paper are derived from a large number of conversations with policy makers, opinion makers, experts and ordinary citizens of countries in the region. They underpin concerns of the people, and particularly the opinion making elite, in the Middle East. 

  • SFG Activity Report, 2015

    Strategic Foresight Group pursues its goals by creating new concepts, underpinned by vigorous, independent and participatory research and engaging senior political leaders as catalysts of change to implement them.

    This publication presents SFG's impact on both intellectual capital and policy. It records SFG's activities across its three focus areas – Global Foresight; Water Diplomacy; and Peace, Conflict, Terrorism.

  • This publication presents a refined version of the Water Cooperation Quotient, which was created as a tool to measure intensity of cooperation in shared river basins.

    The Water Cooperation Quotient was first introduced in our report released in November 2013. As the report was circulated worldwide, we received many useful suggestions for improving the Water Cooperation Quotient methodology. In this publication we have used this feedback to further refine the Water Cooperation Quotient.

  • Water and Violence: Crisis of Survival in the Middle East, 2014

    It is increasingly becoming apparent that there is a growing need to address the real victims of scarcity and conflict over water. These are vulnerable and marginalized communities who do not have carrying capacity to manage water related disasters.

    This report examines the problems of populations made vulnerable by the abuse of water as a weapon or as a target in violent conflicts. In the past, some of the state agencies and combatant forces in the region have destroyed water infrastructure. Since 2014, ISIS, a new terrorist group has shown propensity to use water resources to achieve its illegitimate objectives. The international community cannot ignore a developing tragedy and this report also explores possible options for the UN and other international actors.

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